UFL Week 4: Updated Projections

by Eric Eager|April 16, 2024

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UFL Week 3 was an entertaining product, starting with the Defenders being the second team in as many weeks to use the fourth down onside kick alternative to come back from multiple scores in the last minute, defeating the winless defending XFL champion Renegades. All four games sailed over the market total, after only two games went over in the first two weeks. Birmingham made quick work of Memphis after an initial turnover and appears to be the class of this league. They are followed only by St. Louis, who knocked off San Antonio on the road and knocked out Chase Garbers for the season. Below are our updated projections:  

Birmingham Stallions 

Market odds to win UFL: +170 (FanDuel) 

Sumer projections: 8.0 wins, +128 to win the title  

 

St. Louis Battlehawks 

Market odds to win UFL: +260 

Sumer projections: 6.4 wins, +306 to win the title 

 

San Antonio Brahmas  

Market odds to win UFL: +650 

Sumer projections: 6.6 wins, +811 to win the title 

 

Michigan Panthers 

Market odds to win UFL: +950 

Sumer projections: 5.3 wins, +1199 to win the title 

 

DC Defenders 

Market odds to win UFL: +850 

Sumer projections: 5.1 wins, +1322 to win the title 

 

Memphis Showboats 

Market odds to win UFL: +1600 

Sumer projections: 4.2 wins, +2304 to win the title 

 

Arlington Renegades  

Market odds to win UFL: +2000 

Sumer projections: 3.3 wins, +6749 to win the title 

 

Houston Roughnecks 

Market odds to win UFL: +3000 

Sumer projections: 2.1 wins, +45355 to win the title 

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